Identifying the occurrence time of an impending mainshock: a very recent case

Panayiotis A. Varotsos; Nicholas V. Sarlis; Efthimios S. Skordas; Stavros Richard G. Christopoulos; Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos

doi:10.1007/s11589-015-0122-3

Identifying the occurrence time of an impending mainshock: a very recent case

Panayiotis A. Varotsos, Nicholas V. Sarlis, Efthimios S. Skordas, Stavros Richard G. Christopoulos, Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos

National and Kapodistrian University of Athens

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

17 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The procedure by means of which the occurrence time of an impending mainshock can be identified by analyzing in natural time the seismicity in the candidate area subsequent to the recording of a precursory seismic electric signals (SES) activity is reviewed. Here, we report the application of this procedure to an M_W 5.4 mainshock that occurred in Greece on 17 November 2014. This mainshock (which is pretty rare since it is the strongest in that area for more than half a century) was preceded by an SES activity recorded on 27 July 2014, and the results of the natural time analysis reveal that the system approached the critical point (mainshock occurrence) early in the morning on 15 November 2014.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	215-222
Number of pages	8
Journal	Earthquake Science
Volume	28
Issue number	3
Early online date	16 Jun 2015
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-015-0122-3
Publication status	Published - 19 Jun 2015
Externally published	Yes

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10.1007/s11589-015-0122-3Licence: CC BY

Cite this

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title = "Identifying the occurrence time of an impending mainshock: a very recent case",

abstract = "The procedure by means of which the occurrence time of an impending mainshock can be identified by analyzing in natural time the seismicity in the candidate area subsequent to the recording of a precursory seismic electric signals (SES) activity is reviewed. Here, we report the application of this procedure to an MW 5.4 mainshock that occurred in Greece on 17 November 2014. This mainshock (which is pretty rare since it is the strongest in that area for more than half a century) was preceded by an SES activity recorded on 27 July 2014, and the results of the natural time analysis reveal that the system approached the critical point (mainshock occurrence) early in the morning on 15 November 2014.",

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T2 - a very recent case

AU - Varotsos, Panayiotis A.

AU - Sarlis, Nicholas V.

AU - Skordas, Efthimios S.

AU - Christopoulos, Stavros Richard G.

AU - Lazaridou-Varotsos, Mary S.

PY - 2015/6/19

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N2 - The procedure by means of which the occurrence time of an impending mainshock can be identified by analyzing in natural time the seismicity in the candidate area subsequent to the recording of a precursory seismic electric signals (SES) activity is reviewed. Here, we report the application of this procedure to an MW 5.4 mainshock that occurred in Greece on 17 November 2014. This mainshock (which is pretty rare since it is the strongest in that area for more than half a century) was preceded by an SES activity recorded on 27 July 2014, and the results of the natural time analysis reveal that the system approached the critical point (mainshock occurrence) early in the morning on 15 November 2014.

AB - The procedure by means of which the occurrence time of an impending mainshock can be identified by analyzing in natural time the seismicity in the candidate area subsequent to the recording of a precursory seismic electric signals (SES) activity is reviewed. Here, we report the application of this procedure to an MW 5.4 mainshock that occurred in Greece on 17 November 2014. This mainshock (which is pretty rare since it is the strongest in that area for more than half a century) was preceded by an SES activity recorded on 27 July 2014, and the results of the natural time analysis reveal that the system approached the critical point (mainshock occurrence) early in the morning on 15 November 2014.

KW - Critical phenomena

KW - Earthquake prediction

KW - Natural time analysis

KW - Seismic electric signals

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SP - 215

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ER -

Identifying the occurrence time of an impending mainshock: a very recent case

Abstract

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