Improving Safety and Security on Railways Using Forecasting

Andrei Loukianov, Coen Van Gulijk, Pieter van Gelder, Sarah Deacon, Valentina Viduto, Markus Stumptner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Allocation of resources to improve security is crucial when we consider people’s safety on transport systems. We show how a system engineering methodology can be used to link business intelligence and railway specifics toward better value for money. A model is proposed to determine a probability of a success in service management. The forecasting model is a basic Markov Chain. A use case demonstrates a way to align statistical data (crime on stations) and probability of investment into resources (people, security measures, time).
LanguageEnglish
Number of pages18
JournalJournal of Integrated Security Science
Volume2
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 5 Dec 2017

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Competitive intelligence
Crime
Systems engineering
Markov processes

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Loukianov, Andrei ; Van Gulijk, Coen ; van Gelder, Pieter ; Deacon, Sarah ; Viduto, Valentina ; Stumptner, Markus. / Improving Safety and Security on Railways Using Forecasting. In: Journal of Integrated Security Science. 2017 ; Vol. 2, No. 1.
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Improving Safety and Security on Railways Using Forecasting. / Loukianov, Andrei; Van Gulijk, Coen; van Gelder, Pieter; Deacon, Sarah; Viduto, Valentina; Stumptner, Markus.

In: Journal of Integrated Security Science, Vol. 2, No. 1, 05.12.2017.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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