Improving Safety and Security on Railways Using Forecasting

Andrei Loukianov, Coen Van Gulijk, Pieter van Gelder, Sarah Deacon, Valentina Viduto, Markus Stumptner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


Allocation of resources to improve security is crucial when we consider people’s safety on transport systems. We show how a system engineering methodology can be used to link business intelligence and railway specifics toward better value for money. A model is proposed to determine a probability of a success in service management. The forecasting model is a basic Markov Chain. A use case demonstrates a way to align statistical data (crime on stations) and probability of investment into resources (people, security measures, time).
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages18
JournalJournal of Integrated Security Science
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 5 Dec 2017


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