Intra- and Inter-Regional Return and Volatility Spillovers Across Emerging and Developed Markets

Evidence from Stock Indices and Stock Index Futures

Larisa Yarovaya, Janusz Brzeszczynski, Chi Keung Marco Lau

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

44 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We provide empirical evidence on the patterns of intra- and inter-regional transmission of information across 10 developed and 11 emerging markets in Asia, the Americas, Europe and Africa using both stock indices and stock index futures. The main transmission channels are examined in the period from 2005 to 2014 through the analysis of return and volatility spillovers around the most recent crises based on the generalized vector autoregressive framework. Our findings demonstrate that markets are more susceptible to domestic and region-specific volatility shocks than to inter-regional contagion. A novel result reported in our study is a difference in patterns of international signals transmission between models employing indices and futures data. We conclude that futures data provide more efficient channels of information transmission because the magnitude of return and volatility spillovers across futures is larger than across indices. Our findings are relevant to practitioners, such as stock market investors, as well as policy makers and can help enhance their understanding of financial markets interconnectedness.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)96-114
Number of pages19
JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
Volume43
Early online date9 Sep 2015
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2016
Externally publishedYes

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Stock index
Stock index futures
Volatility spillover
Information transmission
Stock market
Index model
Transmission channel
Politicians
Empirical evidence
Contagion
Emerging markets
Vector autoregressive
Africa
Financial markets
Asia
Investors

Cite this

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