Left-hand side BBN model for process safety

C. Van Gulijk, D. H. Hanea, Karina Q. Almeida Leñero, M. Steenhoek, B. J.M. Ale, Dan Ababei

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)


This paper describes the blueprint of a model for calculating the left-hand side of the bow-tie for chemical plants is described. The model is based on Non-Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets so that uncertainties are automatically included. Also, the procedure for constructing the elements for the model is described. The aim is to calculate LoC frequencies for entire chemical plants in a single straightforward modeling approach in a single model. It is demonstrated that only four principle design rules are required to construct the blueprint for a model that is flexible and straightforward to work with. It was also found that design process for the components of the model is traceable and reproducible. A structured working procedure was designed to meet those requirements. A numerical validation process will follow in the future.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationSafety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2013
PublisherC R C Press
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9781315815596
ISBN (Print)9781138001237
Publication statusPublished - 18 Sep 2014
Externally publishedYes
EventAnnual European Safety and Reliability Conference - Amsterdam, Netherlands
Duration: 29 Sep 20132 Oct 2013
https://pure.strath.ac.uk/portal/en/activities/european-safety-and-reliability-conference-esrel-2013(4f871466-b57c-4ec1-aff0-bb52968db52d).html (Link to Event Details )


ConferenceAnnual European Safety and Reliability Conference
Abbreviated titleESREL 2013
Internet address


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