Left-hand side BBN model for process safety

C. Van Gulijk, D. H. Hanea, Karina Q. Almeida Leñero, M. Steenhoek, B. J.M. Ale, Dan Ababei

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper describes the blueprint of a model for calculating the left-hand side of the bow-tie for chemical plants is described. The model is based on Non-Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets so that uncertainties are automatically included. Also, the procedure for constructing the elements for the model is described. The aim is to calculate LoC frequencies for entire chemical plants in a single straightforward modeling approach in a single model. It is demonstrated that only four principle design rules are required to construct the blueprint for a model that is flexible and straightforward to work with. It was also found that design process for the components of the model is traceable and reproducible. A structured working procedure was designed to meet those requirements. A numerical validation process will follow in the future.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationSafety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2013
PublisherC R C Press
Pages1867-1873
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9781315815596
ISBN (Print)9781138001237
Publication statusPublished - 18 Sep 2014
Externally publishedYes
EventAnnual European Safety and Reliability Conference - Amsterdam, Netherlands
Duration: 29 Sep 20132 Oct 2013
https://pure.strath.ac.uk/portal/en/activities/european-safety-and-reliability-conference-esrel-2013(4f871466-b57c-4ec1-aff0-bb52968db52d).html (Link to Event Details )

Conference

ConferenceAnnual European Safety and Reliability Conference
Abbreviated titleESREL 2013
CountryNetherlands
CityAmsterdam
Period29/09/132/10/13
Internet address

Fingerprint

Blueprints
Chemical plants
Uncertainty

Cite this

Van Gulijk, C., Hanea, D. H., Almeida Leñero, K. Q., Steenhoek, M., Ale, B. J. M., & Ababei, D. (2014). Left-hand side BBN model for process safety. In Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon : Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2013 (pp. 1867-1873). C R C Press.
Van Gulijk, C. ; Hanea, D. H. ; Almeida Leñero, Karina Q. ; Steenhoek, M. ; Ale, B. J.M. ; Ababei, Dan. / Left-hand side BBN model for process safety. Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon : Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2013. C R C Press, 2014. pp. 1867-1873
@inproceedings{b41849d12b684a35b58b6b429d1ce906,
title = "Left-hand side BBN model for process safety",
abstract = "This paper describes the blueprint of a model for calculating the left-hand side of the bow-tie for chemical plants is described. The model is based on Non-Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets so that uncertainties are automatically included. Also, the procedure for constructing the elements for the model is described. The aim is to calculate LoC frequencies for entire chemical plants in a single straightforward modeling approach in a single model. It is demonstrated that only four principle design rules are required to construct the blueprint for a model that is flexible and straightforward to work with. It was also found that design process for the components of the model is traceable and reproducible. A structured working procedure was designed to meet those requirements. A numerical validation process will follow in the future.",
author = "{Van Gulijk}, C. and Hanea, {D. H.} and {Almeida Le{\~n}ero}, {Karina Q.} and M. Steenhoek and Ale, {B. J.M.} and Dan Ababei",
note = "No record of this in Eprints. HN 24/11/2017",
year = "2014",
month = "9",
day = "18",
language = "English",
isbn = "9781138001237",
pages = "1867--1873",
booktitle = "Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon",
publisher = "C R C Press",
address = "United States",

}

Van Gulijk, C, Hanea, DH, Almeida Leñero, KQ, Steenhoek, M, Ale, BJM & Ababei, D 2014, Left-hand side BBN model for process safety. in Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon : Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2013. C R C Press, pp. 1867-1873, Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference, Amsterdam, Netherlands, 29/09/13.

Left-hand side BBN model for process safety. / Van Gulijk, C.; Hanea, D. H.; Almeida Leñero, Karina Q.; Steenhoek, M.; Ale, B. J.M.; Ababei, Dan.

Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon : Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2013. C R C Press, 2014. p. 1867-1873.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

TY - GEN

T1 - Left-hand side BBN model for process safety

AU - Van Gulijk, C.

AU - Hanea, D. H.

AU - Almeida Leñero, Karina Q.

AU - Steenhoek, M.

AU - Ale, B. J.M.

AU - Ababei, Dan

N1 - No record of this in Eprints. HN 24/11/2017

PY - 2014/9/18

Y1 - 2014/9/18

N2 - This paper describes the blueprint of a model for calculating the left-hand side of the bow-tie for chemical plants is described. The model is based on Non-Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets so that uncertainties are automatically included. Also, the procedure for constructing the elements for the model is described. The aim is to calculate LoC frequencies for entire chemical plants in a single straightforward modeling approach in a single model. It is demonstrated that only four principle design rules are required to construct the blueprint for a model that is flexible and straightforward to work with. It was also found that design process for the components of the model is traceable and reproducible. A structured working procedure was designed to meet those requirements. A numerical validation process will follow in the future.

AB - This paper describes the blueprint of a model for calculating the left-hand side of the bow-tie for chemical plants is described. The model is based on Non-Parametric Bayesian Belief Nets so that uncertainties are automatically included. Also, the procedure for constructing the elements for the model is described. The aim is to calculate LoC frequencies for entire chemical plants in a single straightforward modeling approach in a single model. It is demonstrated that only four principle design rules are required to construct the blueprint for a model that is flexible and straightforward to work with. It was also found that design process for the components of the model is traceable and reproducible. A structured working procedure was designed to meet those requirements. A numerical validation process will follow in the future.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84900004926&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - https://www.crcpress.com/Safety-Reliability-and-Risk-Analysis-Beyond-the-Horizon/Steenbergen-van-Gelder-Miraglia-Vrouwenvelder/p/book/9781138001237

M3 - Conference contribution

SN - 9781138001237

SP - 1867

EP - 1873

BT - Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon

PB - C R C Press

ER -

Van Gulijk C, Hanea DH, Almeida Leñero KQ, Steenhoek M, Ale BJM, Ababei D. Left-hand side BBN model for process safety. In Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon : Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2013. C R C Press. 2014. p. 1867-1873