System Dynamics Model for High-Speed Railway Operation Safety Supervision System Based On Evolutionary Game Theory

Kehong Li, Yadong Zhang, Jin Guo, Xiaocheng Ge, Yuebin Su

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In view of the entrusted transportation management model of High-Speed Railways (HSR) in China, some questions have been exposed during its operation (eg, the supervision and inspection power of HSR company is not fully implemented, the poor management of safety investments, and no incentive and restraint mechanism). Through the analysis of the current situation of the HSR safety supervision system, a system dynamics (SD) model that is composed of an HSR company, the State Railway Administration (SRA) and the commissioned Railways Bureau (RB) have been established based on evolutionary game theory. The behavioral characteristics and the steady state of the decision-making of all parties involved in the system are proved by the combination of evolutionary game theory and a system dynamics simulation. The results show that, under the clear incentive and restraint mechanism assumptions, the safety supervision and inspection rate of the system has been effectively improved and the supervision power of HSR company has been implemented.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere4743
Number of pages10
JournalConcurrency Computation
Volume31
Issue number10
Early online date2 Oct 2018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 25 May 2019

Fingerprint

Evolutionary Game Theory
Game theory
Railway
Security systems
System Dynamics
Dynamic models
Dynamic Model
High Speed
Safety
Inspection
Incentives
Industry
Model Management
Decision making
System Simulation
Dynamic Simulation
China
Computer simulation
Decision Making

Cite this

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title = "System Dynamics Model for High-Speed Railway Operation Safety Supervision System Based On Evolutionary Game Theory",
abstract = "In view of the entrusted transportation management model of High-Speed Railways (HSR) in China, some questions have been exposed during its operation (eg, the supervision and inspection power of HSR company is not fully implemented, the poor management of safety investments, and no incentive and restraint mechanism). Through the analysis of the current situation of the HSR safety supervision system, a system dynamics (SD) model that is composed of an HSR company, the State Railway Administration (SRA) and the commissioned Railways Bureau (RB) have been established based on evolutionary game theory. The behavioral characteristics and the steady state of the decision-making of all parties involved in the system are proved by the combination of evolutionary game theory and a system dynamics simulation. The results show that, under the clear incentive and restraint mechanism assumptions, the safety supervision and inspection rate of the system has been effectively improved and the supervision power of HSR company has been implemented.",
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System Dynamics Model for High-Speed Railway Operation Safety Supervision System Based On Evolutionary Game Theory. / Li, Kehong; Zhang, Yadong; Guo, Jin; Ge, Xiaocheng; Su, Yuebin.

In: Concurrency Computation, Vol. 31, No. 10, e4743, 25.05.2019.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

TY - JOUR

T1 - System Dynamics Model for High-Speed Railway Operation Safety Supervision System Based On Evolutionary Game Theory

AU - Li, Kehong

AU - Zhang, Yadong

AU - Guo, Jin

AU - Ge, Xiaocheng

AU - Su, Yuebin

PY - 2019/5/25

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N2 - In view of the entrusted transportation management model of High-Speed Railways (HSR) in China, some questions have been exposed during its operation (eg, the supervision and inspection power of HSR company is not fully implemented, the poor management of safety investments, and no incentive and restraint mechanism). Through the analysis of the current situation of the HSR safety supervision system, a system dynamics (SD) model that is composed of an HSR company, the State Railway Administration (SRA) and the commissioned Railways Bureau (RB) have been established based on evolutionary game theory. The behavioral characteristics and the steady state of the decision-making of all parties involved in the system are proved by the combination of evolutionary game theory and a system dynamics simulation. The results show that, under the clear incentive and restraint mechanism assumptions, the safety supervision and inspection rate of the system has been effectively improved and the supervision power of HSR company has been implemented.

AB - In view of the entrusted transportation management model of High-Speed Railways (HSR) in China, some questions have been exposed during its operation (eg, the supervision and inspection power of HSR company is not fully implemented, the poor management of safety investments, and no incentive and restraint mechanism). Through the analysis of the current situation of the HSR safety supervision system, a system dynamics (SD) model that is composed of an HSR company, the State Railway Administration (SRA) and the commissioned Railways Bureau (RB) have been established based on evolutionary game theory. The behavioral characteristics and the steady state of the decision-making of all parties involved in the system are proved by the combination of evolutionary game theory and a system dynamics simulation. The results show that, under the clear incentive and restraint mechanism assumptions, the safety supervision and inspection rate of the system has been effectively improved and the supervision power of HSR company has been implemented.

KW - Evolutionary Game Theory

KW - High-Speed Railway

KW - Operation Safety Supervision

KW - Principal-Agent

KW - System Dynamics

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